top of page

2024 Free Agents - James Wiseman

Summary
Wiseman was a high-level recruit coming out of high school and a top prospect in the 2020 draft mostly due to his elite physical tools. At 7'1" with a 7'5" wingspan, Wiseman has great size for even an NBA center. Combining that size with elite athleticism was ultimately what got him drafted 2nd overall in 2020. However, Wiseman has been unable to make any sort of NBA impact during his four seasons, and he was traded to Detroit in 2023 after struggling with the Warriors. He also has struggled with injuries, playing only 143 games in four seasons, including missing his entire second season.

Offensively, Wiseman has the potential to be a lethal lob threat due to his size and athleticism. However, he just hasn't been able to really put that aspect of his game together. He's not a great screen setter, and just doesn't have the timing or feel as a roll man yet. He is a good, but not great, finisher at the rim, and has struggled from floater range, which has caused him to have just a 59% true shooting, which is pretty poor for a rim-running center. He doesn't have great hands, and has shown poor feel in his passing and overall awareness on offense.

Defensively, Wiseman has also really struggled to turn his physical tools into actual production. As a center, that's probably even more damaging to his career than his offensive struggles. Despite having all the tools to be an elite rim protector, his mind has not caught up with his body in that regard. His positional awareness is lacking, and he just doesn't have the instincts to rotate correctly or be in the right spot at the right time. It usually takes time for young players to become good NBA defenders, but Wiseman needs to show progress soon.

On/off stats can often be unfair to an individual player, but Wiseman's individual numbers have been horrible in this regard. During his time in Golden State, the Warriors' net rating was about 20 points per 100 possessions worse with Wiseman on the court than with him off, a pretty absurd number. Those numbers have slightly improved after Wiseman went to Detroit, but they are still really bad, particularly on defense. Because Wiseman is still young and has physical tools that give him upside, I expect him to get a solid contract, similar to what previous #2 picks like Jabari Parker and Marvin Bagley have gotten following disappointing rookie scale contracts. However, if you were to go on performance alone, Wiseman is a minimum-level player.
 
Cap Considerations
Wiseman will be a restricted free agent with a $30.3 million cap hold, a $7.7 million Qualifying Offer, and full Bird rights. The Pistons may refuse to tender him a QO, making him an unrestricted free agent. With Wiseman's QO being possibly above his market value, even if he doesn't meet the starter criteria, it's possible he doesn't get a QO. If the Pistons do give him the QO, Wiseman may consider signing it right away. 

Other teams will have multiple ways to sign Wiseman as even teams without cap space could use the Non-Taxpayer MLE, Room MLE, or possibly even the Taxpayer MLE or Bi-Annual Exception to sign him to an offer sheet or outright as an unrestricted free agent (although you rarely ever see offer sheets for less than the full MLE). However, Wiseman being a restricted free agent would lower his interest among teams, as they will worry that the only way to pry him away from Detroit would be to overpay him. It's possible that Wiseman is an unrestricted free agent that only gets small offers. 

Potential Teams: Pistons, Wizards, Bulls, Hornets, Rockets

Predicted Contract: 2-year, $15 million with the Pistons

Actual Contract: 2-year, $4.8 million with the Pacers

I thought someone would overvalue Wiseman based on potential and his prospect status, but he settled for a two-year minimum contract with Indiana.

Last updated: 7/14/2024

bottom of page