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2025 Free Agents - Isaiah Jackson

Over the course of his early career, Jackson has proven to be a solid rim-running center. He isn't massive, but has good athleticism that allows him to extend high to catch lobs on offense. He runs the floor hard and has fit in with this high-paced Pacers offense. After only hitting 66% of his attempts at the rim during his first two seasons in the league, Jackson hit 74% in '23-'24. He also gets a lot of offensive rebounds. Unfortunately, Jackson struggles to make anything that isn't a dunk. He has no range outside of the paint, and has struggled in his few non-paint attempts from floater range. However, since his role offensively is pretty simple, he really only needs to develop a couple key skills. If he can improve his touch and finish better inside, that would be big for his development. In addition, if he can improve his passing and decision-making in short-roll situations, that would make him even more of a threat as the roll-man in pick-and-roll, because right now he mostly just does damage finishing lobs or if he has a clear pathway to a dunk. Defensively, Jackson uses his athleticism to be very disruptive. He has posted very high steal and block rates. His block rates have been particularly high, never finishing below the 95th percentile among bigs, according to Cleaning the Glass. He is a little bit thin, and can get bullied inside by larger, stronger centers. He also just hasn't quite developed the positional awareness and rotational instincts to be a great rim protector. Jackson will still only be 23 years old as a free agent in 2025. His ceiling made be a bit limited due to his role, but we have seen many players like him impact winning at a high level. He still needs to improve to be a starting-level center, but I think he has a shot to become one. If not, I still think he can carve out a long career as an above-average back-up.

Summary

Jackson will be a restricted free agent with an $13.2 million cap hold, a $6.4 million Qualifying Offer, and full Bird rights. If Jackson plays 2,000 minutes or starts 41 games this season, he could raise his Qualifying Offer to $8.7 million. I wouldn't expect Jackson's QO to come into play, but I wouldn't completely rule it out considering it may not be that much lower than his market value starting salary and the Pacers could play hardball with him as a restricted free agent. Other teams will have multiple ways to sign Jackson as even teams without cap space could use the Non-Taxpayer MLE, Room MLE, or possibly even the Taxpayer MLE or Bi-Annual Exception to sign him to an offer sheet or outright as an unrestricted free agent (although you rarely ever see offer sheets for less than the full MLE). However, Jackson being a restricted free agent would lower his interest among teams, as they will worry that the only way to pry him away from Indiana would be to overpay him.

Cap Considerations

Daniel Gafford (3 years, $40 million, 2021) Thomas Bryant (3 years, $25 million, 2019) Jalen Smith (3 years, $27 million, 2024)

Player/Contract Comparison

Potential Teams: Pacers, Kings, Wizards, Grizzlies, Raptors

Predicted Contract: 2-year, $20 million with the Pacers

Last updated: 9/24/2024

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