Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
2025 Free Agents - Brandon Ingram
After a somewhat slow start to his career in Los Angeles with the Lakers, the #2 overall pick in 2016 had a breakout year in '19-'20, making the All-Star team and turning that into a 5-year max contract in the summer of 2020. Since being traded to New Orleans, Ingram has been one of the better scorers in the league, using his length and skillset to be a true three-level scorer. Ingram isn't an elite playmaker, but he has improved in that regard, averaging just under six assists per game over the past three seasons. He doesn't pick apart defenses with his passing, but he can make the right reads when he draws multiple defenders. Ingram has a pretty high diet of midrange jumpers, as he has been in the 98th percentile or higher in midrange frequency over the past three seasons, as about 60% of his attempts come from there, according to Cleaning the Glass. However, because he hits them at a really good rate, his efficiency is still solid. His 58% true shooting during his time in New Orleans is better than average, but not elite. He's a good 3-point shooter at 37%, especially considering a good chunk of those are self-created looks. He shot a career high 72% at the rim in '23-'24, bt overall has been just about average from there most of his career. Defensively, Ingram has generally been a negative on that end. He doesn't move his feet all that well as an on-ball defender, and is usually hidden on weaker players. Ingram isn't disruptive either, posting a low block rate and a really low steal rate. The Pelicans have had some successful defenses in recent years, but I don't think Ingram has contributed much to that, and they have been better defensively with him off the court. Given that Ingram has been the primary offensive creator, I don't think his defense kills his overall value, but it can separate him from some of the other elite wings that are positives on both ends. Ingram will be in an interesting position heading into free agency in 2025. While he certainly has some talent, it's unclear how far he can take a team if he's the primary scorer, and it's also unclear how well he can adapt in a lower-usage role. His struggles in the FIBA World Cup in 2023 could make teams doubt his ability to be impactful in a lesser role, but FIBA play can often be very unpredictable when it comes to NBA success. He also reportedly hasn't received much trade interest from other teams, despite the Pelicans reportedly considering moving him. Ingram has seen similar players get max contracts on their first run in unrestricted free agency. Will Ingram get the same?
Summary
Ingram will be an unrestricted free agent with a $46.4 million cap hold and full Bird rights. Since Ingram's cap hold will equal his max salary, his cap hold will not play a factor since it would either be removed from the Pelicans' salary cap if he signs elsewhere, or just replaced by his salary if he re-signs with the Pelicans. If Ingram becomes a free agent, the Pelicans can offer him up to a 5-year, $269 million max contract, with a player option and 15% trade bonus as possible sweeteners as well. Other teams will be able to offer Ingram a 4-year, $199 million max offer, with a player option and 15% trade bonus. Ingram could also sign a shorter-term contract if he wants more flexibility.
Cap Considerations
DeMar DeRozan (3 years, $74 million, 2024) Zach Lavine (4+1 years, $215 million max, 2022) Khris Middleton (2+1 years, $102 million, 2023)