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2025 Free Agents - Jaylin Williams

Coming out of Arkansas into the 2022 NBA Draft, Williams was not considered a high-level prospect, and even went higher than the consensus when the Thunder drafted him 34th overall. However, Williams had a very successful rookie season, breaking into the regular rotation and even starting 36 games. His role diminished a bit in '23-'24, and may continue to do so with the addition of Isaiah Hartenstein. However, he was still part of the playoff rotation, even closing some playoff games. Defensively, Williams does not provide much rim protection in the traditional sense. At 6'10" he is undersized for a center, is a below-average NBA athlete, and his block rate is low. However, he is an elite charge-taker, leading the league in total charges as a rookie and lapping the field when calculating on a per-minute basis. Drawing those charges provides some level of rim protection. Williams led the nation in charges taken during his final year at Arkansas as well, so his rookie season was likely not a fluke.  Along with drawing charges, Williams also uses his good defensive instincts in drop coverage. He has good awareness to "play two" by disrupting the ball-handler but also not letting the roll man get behind him for a lob or open for an easy pocket pass. He has good hands and gets steals at a high rate for a big. Williams also has a good defensive rebounding rate. Offensively, Williams has some ball-skills as he has enough of a handle for straight-line drives and has decent passing vision. That makes him a threat in short-roll situations, particularly when the defense blitzes the ball-handler and Williams has a 4-on-3. However, he's a below average scorer in every sense. His lack of explosion makes it hard for him to finish at the rim, as he has only hit 61% from there. He has hit 39% from 3, but the sample size is small so he needs to show more in order to prove he's an actual threat as a shooter, and would need to increase his volume for defenses to really fear him. Overall, Williams is probably best served as a back-up big, but he has shown that he can be a legitimate rotation player. He'll still only be 22 years old as a potential free agent in 2025, so it's likely he will continue to improve.

Summary

Williams has a $2.2 million team option for 2025-2026, and the Thunder may decline this option to make Williams a restricted free agent in 2025, rather than picking up the option and having Williams hit unrestricted free agency in 2026. If the Thunder decline the option, Williams will be a restricted free agent with a $3 million cap hold and Qualifying Offer. If the Thunder and Williams agree to a deal, they could also rescind his QO, which would lower his cap hold to $2.3 million. The Thunder may not will feel the need to lock Williams down on a long-term deal in 2025, and might simply pick up his option. The salary cap circumstances will be a little different in 2025 than 2024, but Thunder locked down Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins on long-term deals in 2024 rather than picking up their small team options, and they could do the same with Williams. They would also likely front-load his contract, like those of Joe and Wiggins, so it gets cheaper over time. Realistically, there is not a scenario where Williams is a free agent and available to other teams in 2025, as even if he falls out of the rotation more with Isaiah Hartenstein in the mix, the Thunder would still probably keep him around on his cheap team option.

Cap Considerations

Trey Lyles (2 years, $16 million, 2023) Nick Richards (3 years, $15 million, 2023) Jalen Smith (3 years, $27 million, 2024)

Player/Contract Comparison

Potential Teams: Thunder, Raptors, Wizards, Grizzlies, Spurs

Predicted Contract: 4-year, $36 million with the Thunder

Last updated: 8/4/2024

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