Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
2025 Free Agents - Cam Thomas
Thomas had a bit of a breakout in '23-'24, more than doubling his scoring output of the previous season and averaging 22.5 points per game. He just has a knack for creating shots. Thomas has the ball-handling ability to create for himself off-the-dribble, and even when he doesn't create a ton of space, he is able to get shots off and hit some difficult ones. Thomas is a bucket-getter, and not much else. His assist-to-usage ratio, which essentially measures how often a player got an assist compared to how often they had the ball, was in the 5th percentile for his position in '23-'24, according to Cleaning the Glass. It would also help if he was more efficient as a scorer, as his 55% true shooting is slightly below-average. That is due to him taking a lot of midrange jumpers, only being average from 3 at 36%, and struggling at the rim. One could argue that Thomas could be more efficient in a role where he didn't have to create as much, but that's also just not the way he naturally wants to play. Defensively, Thomas struggles, and it's seems doubtful that he will ever be a positive defender. But the question then becomes - can he at least survive and not kill your defense? He's a below-average athlete, and slightly undersized for a wing, so he'll always have that working against him. He also just doesn't put much effort in on defense, either on or off ball. I wouldn't be surprised if NBA executives are all over the board on Thomas. I'm sure some just see him as a one-dimensional, inefficient gunner that they'd really have no interest in having on their team. Others probably see a high-level shot maker with a very important skillset. I think the size of his next contract as a similar wide potential range.
Summary
Thomas will be a restricted free agent with an $12.1 million cap hold, $8.7 million Qualifying Offer, and full Bird Rights. If he starts fewer than 31 games and plays less than 1,925 minutes during the regular season, his QO will drop to $6 million. I wouldn't expect Thomas' QO to come into play, as he will likely sign a large contract with the Nets or a large offer sheet elsewhere. If a player has a smaller cap hold than his starting salary, his team can use cap space to sign-free agents before using Bird Rights to re-sign its own free agents. The Nets could take advantage of this rule if they end up operating under the cap. Depending on how close the Nets are to the luxury tax after free agency, or how much cap space they need after re-signing him, if Thomas is brought back by the Nets on a multi-year contract they could benefit from frontloading his contract, as it could give them additional flexibility in the future. From other teams, Thomas will be looking for a 4-year, $120+ million offer sheet, and it would likely take near that in order for Brooklyn to not match. In addition, the team signing him to an offer sheet adding a 15% trade bonus, a player option, and some advances on his salary could make it more difficult for Brooklyn to match. Since Thomas will gets offers above the full MLE, only teams with cap space will be able to sign him, unless a sign-and-trade occurs, which would be complicated by base-year compensation rules.
Cap Considerations
Anfernee Simons (4 years, $100 million, 2022) Tyler Herro (4 years, $120 million, 2022) Jordan Clarkson (3 years, $55 million, 2023)